Comparison

Hakuba Valley vs Shiga Kogen: which has more reliable snow?

Hakuba Valley or Shiga Kogen? Natural snow month by month, at the village, mid-mountain and summit, from thirty winters of weather data.

The season at a glance

Hakuba ValleyJapan, 760–1,831 mShiga KogenJapan, 1,340–2,307 m

Each cell is one month: the share of days with 30 cm or more of modelled natural snow at mid-mountain over the last 30 winters, from brown (often thin) to deep blue (snow-sure). Blank means almost none.

The short answer

Shiga Kogen has had the more reliable natural snow: mid-mountain was snow-sure in 5 months of the year, against 3 at Hakuba Valley. Month by month, Shiga Kogen has the edge in November, December and April.

Month by month

November: Hakuba Valley 0 of 30, Shiga Kogen 0 of 30 snow-sure winters (9% and 21% of days).

December: Hakuba Valley 15 of 30, Shiga Kogen 26 of 30 snow-sure winters (81% and 95% of days).

January: Hakuba Valley 30 of 30, Shiga Kogen 30 of 30 snow-sure winters (100% and 100% of days).

February: Hakuba Valley 30 of 30, Shiga Kogen 30 of 30 snow-sure winters (100% and 100% of days).

March: Hakuba Valley 30 of 30, Shiga Kogen 30 of 30 snow-sure winters (100% and 100% of days).

April: Hakuba Valley 22 of 30, Shiga Kogen 29 of 30 snow-sure winters (93% and 98% of days).

May: Hakuba Valley 0 of 30, Shiga Kogen 1 of 30 snow-sure winters (16% and 31% of days).

A snow-sure winter is one where mid-mountain had 30 cm or more of modelled natural snow on at least 90% of that month’s days.

Height and terrain

Hakuba Valley and Shiga Kogen are 60 km apart as the crow flies. Hakuba Valley first, then Shiga Kogen: Village 760 m against 1,340 m; Mid-mountain 1,296 m against 1,824 m; Summit 1,831 m against 2,307 m.

In February, the village had 30 cm or more of natural snow on 100% of days at Hakuba Valley and 100% at Shiga Kogen.

Questions

Which has more reliable snow, Hakuba Valley or Shiga Kogen?

Shiga Kogen has had the more reliable natural snow: mid-mountain was snow-sure in 5 months of the year, against 3 at Hakuba Valley. Month by month, Shiga Kogen has the edge in November, December and April.

Which has better snow down to the village, Hakuba Valley or Shiga Kogen?

In February, Hakuba Valley: its village had 30 cm or more of modelled natural snow on 100% of days, against 100%.

Does this include snowmaking?

No. These are modelled natural snow figures only, from ERA5 weather. Groomed pistes with snowmaking often ski better than this.

Snow is modelled from thirty winters of ERA5 weather data, natural snow only. It ignores snowmaking, grooming and wind, so use it to compare places, dates and heights, not as a guarantee. Always check local avalanche bulletins before going off-piste.

Weather: ERA5, contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026. Live snowfall: Open-Meteo (open-meteo.com, CC BY 4.0). Terrain: AWS Terrain Tiles. Basemap: OpenFreeMap, © OpenMapTiles. Ski areas, pistes and lifts: OpenSkiMap, © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL). Satellite view: Sentinel-2 cloudless 2016 by EOX (CC BY 4.0).

© 2026 Methodis Ltd