Falls Creek vs Perisher: which has more reliable snow?

The short answer

Neither has been reliably snow-sure in any month over the last 11 winters, but Perisher has had the better odds, especially in July, August and September.

Month by month

June: Falls Creek 0 of 11, Perisher 0 of 11 snow-sure winters (9% and 9% of days).

July: Falls Creek 1 of 11, Perisher 1 of 11 snow-sure winters (18% and 41% of days).

August: Falls Creek 4 of 11, Perisher 6 of 11 snow-sure winters (43% and 59% of days).

September: Falls Creek 1 of 11, Perisher 4 of 11 snow-sure winters (27% and 45% of days).

October: Falls Creek 0 of 11, Perisher 0 of 11 snow-sure winters (1% and 8% of days).

A snow-sure winter is one where mid-mountain had 30 cm or more of modelled natural snow on at least 90% of that month’s days.

Height and terrain

Falls Creek and Perisher are 113 km apart as the crow flies. Falls Creek first, then Perisher: Village 1,500 m against 1,605 m; Mid-mountain 1,640 m against 1,830 m; Summit 1,780 m against 2,054 m. Mapped downhill runs: Falls Creek 40 km, Perisher 83 km (OpenStreetMap).

In August, the village had 30 cm or more of natural snow on 34% of days at Falls Creek and 39% at Perisher.

Questions

Which has more reliable snow, Falls Creek or Perisher?

Neither has been reliably snow-sure in any month over the last 11 winters, but Perisher has had the better odds, especially in July, August and September.

Which has better snow down to the village, Falls Creek or Perisher?

In August, Perisher: its village had 30 cm or more of modelled natural snow on 39% of days, against 34%.

Does this include snowmaking?

No. These are modelled natural snow figures only, from ERA5 weather. Groomed pistes with snowmaking often ski better than this.